09-27-2019, 02:49 AM
(09-26-2019, 09:48 AM)MidTowner Wrote: Probably not (from his perspective). 338 Canada, for instance, evaluates Kitchener Centre as "Likely Liberal." The latest polls show the NDP and Green parties at 12% and 10% respectively in Ontario, and usually the Greens' real result is less than they poll. The Tories probably won't be winning in Kitchener.
I think 338's result is based on historical voting data plus national trends, not considering any local issues or candidates.
Hopefully the Record (or someone else) will run some local riding polls yet.