03-19-2023, 09:24 PM
(03-19-2023, 08:35 PM)dtkvictim Wrote:(03-19-2023, 07:14 PM)Bytor Wrote: And a 10 minute headway bus route would show you what that demand is quite handily since it's in or close to the zone of "just go to a bus stop and wait as it will be there soon" since the median wait time will be 5 minutes.
And that's exactly what we have in route 302, a 10 minute bus route.
If that route has not yet reached 4,000 riders a day, why do people think an LRT covering roughly the same route today would reach 7,000/day to be able to be cost competitive with a bus route?
Would a LRT increase ridership? Sure. Would it double the ridership from current? No, of course not.
Does anyone have the 2019 statistics to show what impact phase 1 had on ridership?
Just anecdotally, I've taken maybe... 5 buses since the LRT launched. And I've taken the LRT for hundreds of trips. When I go somewhere that isn't on the LRT route, I walk or bike if practical, or otherwise I take an Uber/taxi. Buses just aren't in the same class of transportation for me, and it's not just about headways.
I'm sure you're probably right that ridership wouldn't double overnight, but I think it's a bigger difference than you are giving credit for. I have to imagine most of the people taking the 302 are highly captive, and there is a lot of voluntary ridership to be gained.
Agree with the bolded line above. The LRT is a smoother ride, feels more modern, and doesn't require potentially standing in line to pay my fare with the driver. When bringing my kid's stroller onboard, there is more space for us on the LRT than on a bus. If given the opportunity to take the bus vs the LRT, all other things being equal, I would choose the train every time.