The COVID-19 pandemic

[tomh009]

Thanks, presents the information in a compact and easy to understand form.

So how are you generating these? A script from a spreadsheet would be one-touch... Also right-aligning numbers is nice. If you stick the number between (align=right) tags that would right align them.

long

1

panamaniac: Ottawa Public Health has been doing good comms?

Yes, typing numbers into a spreadsheet and then sorting. Then using an Excel formula to build the table tags. Not quite one-touch but a whole lot better than typing the table tags manually.

I did get lazy with the tags, I'll add the align tags now.

Peel	436	458.9	33.2	-17%
Windsor-Essex	81	73.1	18.8	34%
Hamilton	109	72.8	12.6	25%
Toronto	522	535.9	18.3	-2%
York	185	186.9	16.8	4%
Wellington-Dufferin-Guelph	38	32.6	12.0	33%
Waterloo	78	67.3	10.9	14%
Durham	80	83.5	12.9	6%
Niagara	45	27.3	6.1	32%
Middlesex-London	37	37.4	9.2	13%
Halton	47	58.4	10.7	-6%
Simcoe-Muskoka	31	41.8	7.7	17%
Eastern Ontario	11	17.3	8.5	17%
Ottawa	19	43.8	4.4	-25%

[plam]

I did get lazy with the tags, I'll add the align tags now.

Looks good, thanks!

[ac3r]

The first shipments of the vaccine left Germany for Canada on Friday: https://twitter.com/UPS_Canada/status/13...5916414976

Edit: They should arrive tonight: https://www.cbc.ca/news/politics/first-d...-1.5839614

The article states that "some trucks will cross the border tomorrow". I thought Trump signed an executive order hoping to appropriate the world supply of this particular vaccine so Americans could get it first? I mean, obviously that is just laughable and would never happen, but I wonder if this means we'll be getting at least some from the Pfizer plant in Michigan (which shipped its first doses out this morning) after all.

[tomh009]

SUNDAY 2020-12-13

Waterloo Region reported 64 new cases for today (14.8% of the active cases).  455 new cases for the week (+6), averaging 14.5% of active cases. 455 active cases (-87 in the last seven days).

Next testing report on Tuesday.

Ontario reported 1,677 new cases today, with a seven-day average of 1,835 (-35). 1,678 recoveries and 16 deaths translated to a drop of 17 active cases, and a current total of 16,204. +657 active cases for the week -- less than 1,000! -- and 177 deaths. 58,190 tests resulted in a 2.88% positivity rate. The positivity rate is averaging 3.47% for the past seven days, as compared to 3.76% for the preceding seven.

253 patients in ICU (+16).

• 356 cases in Peel: 25.8 per 100K
  
• 72 cases in Windsor-Essex: 18.5 per 100K
  
• 456 cases in Toronto: 15.6 per 100K
  
• 90 cases in Hamilton: 15.5 per 100K
  
• 61 cases in Niagara: 13.6 per 100K
  
• 86 cases in Durham: 13.3 per 100K
  
• 143 cases in York: 12.9 per 100K
  
• 23 cases in Eastern Ontario: 11.3 per 100K
  
• 62 cases in Halton: 11.3 per 100K
  
• 61 cases in Waterloo: 9.9 per 100K (based on provincial reporting)
  
• 22 cases in Wellington-Dufferin-Guelph: 8.1 per 100K
  
• 12 cases in Leeds, Grenville & Lanark: 7.1 per 100K
  
• 36 cases in Simcoe-Muskoka: 6.7 per 100K
  
• 13 cases in Kingston Frontenac: 6.4 per 100K
  
• 25 cases in Middlesex-London: 6.2 per 100K
  
• 55 cases in Ottawa: 5.5 per 100K
  

[panamaniac]

The first shipments of the vaccine left Germany for Canada on Friday: https://twitter.com/UPS_Canada/status/13...5916414976

Edit: They should arrive tonight: https://www.cbc.ca/news/politics/first-d...-1.5839614

The article states that "some trucks will cross the border tomorrow". I thought Trump signed an executive order hoping to appropriate the world supply of this particular vaccine so Americans could get it first? I mean, obviously that is just laughable and would never happen, but I wonder if this means we'll be getting at least some from the Pfizer plant in Michigan (which shipped its first doses out this morning) after all.

I assume the Executive Order applies only to vaccines produced in the USA.

[ac3r]

Yes I believe so. It's basically similar to how earlier in the year they tried to prevent N95 masks manufactured in the USA from being shipped to other countries, including Canada, which obviously didn't happen. We were basically able to tell them to F-off and still got what we needed each time. The Trump administration thinks they can bully Canada around but we keep showing them that they can't...lumber, minerals, aluminum, masks, the vaccines etc - in the end, Canada tends to prevail each time. It's all part of his nonsense America First strategy - but that has basically just put them in last place since. While they are an Imperialistic war machine of a nation, they can't push everyone around, especially us.

[tomh009]

10-day averages for key regions in Ontario, plus the weekly trend as of 2020-12-14.

Region	Cases today	10-day average	per 100K	Weekly trend
Peel	390	435.5	32.3	-19%
Windsor-Essex	114	82.6	19.5	+32%
Toronto	544	526.5	18.1	-10%
York	191	187.4	16.6	-12%
Hamilton	134	86.6	13.5	+24%
Durham	68	80.9	12.8	-7%
Wellington-Dufferin-Guelph	47	37.9	12.1	+7%
Waterloo	71	64.9	10.9	+17%
Halton	64	61.6	10.8	-5%
Middlesex-London	43	36.1	9.1	+21%
Eastern Ontario	27	22.2	9.1	+0%
Simcoe-Muskoka	33	43.7	7.5	-43%
Niagara	58	36.7	7.1	+48%
Leeds, Grenville & Lanark	8	10.2	5.8	-1%
Kingston Frontenac	11	11.0	5.1	+52%
Ottawa	45	46.9	4.5	-32%

[tomh009]

MONDAY 2020-12-14

Waterloo Region reported 70 new cases for today (15.5% of the active cases).  466 new cases for the week (+11), averaging 15.2% of active cases. 471 active cases (-57 in the last seven days).

Next testing report on Tuesday.

Ontario reported 1,940 new cases today, with a seven-day average of 1,841 (+6). 1,535 recoveries and 23 deaths translated to an increase of 382 active cases, and a current total of 16,586. +552 active cases for the week and 174 deaths. 57,091 tests resulted in a 3.40% positivity rate. The positivity rate is averaging 3.35% for the past seven days, as compared to 3.73% for the preceding seven.

244 patients in ICU (-9).

• 114 cases in Windsor-Essex: 29.3 per 100K
  
• 390 cases in Peel: 28.2 per 100K
  
• 134 cases in Hamilton: 23.1 per 100K
  
• 544 cases in Toronto: 18.6 per 100K
  
• 47 cases in Wellington-Dufferin-Guelph: 17.3 per 100K
  
• 191 cases in York: 17.2 per 100K
  
• 27 cases in Eastern Ontario: 13.3 per 100K
  
• 58 cases in Niagara: 12.9 per 100K
  
• 64 cases in Halton: 11.7 per 100K
  
• 71 cases in Waterloo: 11.5 per 100K (based on provincial reporting)
  
• 43 cases in Middlesex-London: 10.6 per 100K
  
• 68 cases in Durham: 10.5 per 100K
  
• 33 cases in Simcoe-Muskoka: 6.1 per 100K
  
• 11 cases in Kingston Frontenac: 5.4 per 100K
  
• 8 cases in Leeds, Grenville & Lanark: 4.7 per 100K
  
• 45 cases in Ottawa: 4.5 per 100K
  

[ac3r]

2'275 cases in Ontario today - a very high number, but there has been some changes in how we count the numbers it would seem: https://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/toronto/c...-1.5841834

Changes to how Public Health Ontario collects and analyzes cases mean that today's figure includes 2.5 extra hours of data from several health units, artificially inflating the total number — but by how much is not yet clear.

[panamaniac]

So they've been undercounting previously?

[tomh009]

So they've been undercounting previously?

Not necessarily. At least one factor is that today they reported on the data from 10:30 AM Monday to 1 PM Tuesday, whereas the previous would have been 10:30-10:30 (and the future will be 1-1). The unanswered question is how many cases this affects, but it's surely in the hundreds. For example, Peel is reporting 586 cases whereas they have recently been in the 400 range, and Windsor is at almost 200. We'll see tomorrow where the numbers settle.

There is a reference to some other data improvements but I suspect those are a smaller impact.

[ac3r]

The government has purchased 168'000 doses of the Moderna vaccine, although Health Canada has yet to approve it: https://twitter.com/i/events/1338894301200142336. An additional 200'000 doses of the BioNTech will be coming next week.

[tomh009]

TUESDAY 2020-12-15

Waterloo Region reported 47 new cases for today (9.9% of the active cases).  459 new cases for the week (-7), averaging 15.2% of active cases. 469 active cases (+3 in the last seven days).

An average of 4,388 new tests for the past week, with an average positivity of 3.72%.

Ontario reported 2,275 new cases today -- partly due to a procedure/timing change -- with a seven-day average of 1,927 (+64). 1,810 recoveries and 20 deaths translated to an increase of 445 active cases, and a current total of 17,031. +880 active cases for the week and 184 deaths. 39,566 tests resulted in a 5.75% positivity rate (likely showing too high as the timing of the testing data did not change). The positivity rate is averaging 3.56% for the past seven days, as compared to 3.62% for the preceding seven.

249 patients in ICU (+5) with a total hospital population of 921 (+127 in the past week).

• 185 cases in Windsor-Essex: 47.6 per 100K
  
• 586 cases in Peel: 42.4 per 100K
  
• 711 cases in Toronto: 24.3 per 100K
  
• 99 cases in Hamilton: 17.1 per 100K
  
• 65 cases in Niagara: 14.5 per 100K
  
• 92 cases in Durham: 14.2 per 100K
  
• 154 cases in York: 13.9 per 100K
  
• 37 cases in Wellington-Dufferin-Guelph: 13.6 per 100K
  
• 65 cases in Halton: 11.9 per 100K
  
• 71 cases in Waterloo: 11.5 per 100K (based on provincial reporting)
  
• 55 cases in Simcoe-Muskoka: 10.2 per 100K
  
• 31 cases in Middlesex-London: 7.7 per 100K
  
• 11 cases in Eastern Ontario: 5.4 per 100K
  
• 5 cases in Kingston Frontenac: 2.4 per 100K
  
• 3 cases in Leeds, Grenville & Lanark: 1.8 per 100K
  
• -9 cases in Ottawa: -0.9 per 100K
  

Ottawa reported some substantial corrections so the actual new case count will remain a mystery.

[tomh009]

The government has purchased 168'000 doses of the Moderna vaccine, although Health Canada has yet to approve it: https://twitter.com/i/events/1338894301200142336. An additional 200'000 doses of the BioNTech will be coming next week.

This is part of the existing order for 40M doses, but with an early delivery date.

[jwilliamson]

My son did his part in keeping our positivity numbers down. He had some symptoms last week so I took him in to the Westmount Place testing centre for a test. The doctor spent a few minutes giving him a regular checkup and then a few seconds with the swab. Test came back negative on the weekend. Everything went pretty smoothly.