The COVID-19 pandemic

[danbrotherston]

I don't quite know how we will measure the success (or the lack thereof) of these measures, given that testing is now very restricted. Based on hospital and ICU population only?

Too slow. Positivity rate might still give some information if reported?

Potentially, but I doubt it, the testing centre in DTK was empty this morning, and I do mean empty, not a single car in line at 10 AM.

I'd be curious to hear actual testing numbers....given what I've seen today, I'd think at 10x decrease would be in the ballpark.

When you have a decrease that large, spurious factors, biases, etc, are going to dominate the data.