07-01-2021, 09:12 PM
(07-01-2021, 07:33 PM)plam Wrote: At the risk of beating a dead horse, I will continue to say that there's a lot of randomness in this whole thing. Taking the right steps can help of course.
Like take Quebec for instance. They did really well in the third wave and terribly in the first wave. Why is that? Did they learn more from their experience?
And the smaller the region, the more random it is (tracking individuals would be the ultimate in randomness). Ontario provincial data is pretty good, and the trends reasonably reliable. Waterloo Region is far harder to predict due to the small sample size.