(05-04-2021, 03:31 PM)danbrotherston Wrote: But the provincial numbers are also significantly down. We were pushing 130k a week ago, 90k is a 30% decrease?!
The 130k days were from AstraZeneca. We've now returned to same Pfizer + Moderna volumes that we were at before the AstraZeneca eligibility opened up (back when AstraZeneca was going unused), as we've run out of AstraZeneca.
Starting this week Pfizer deliveries have picked up, Ontario will be getting 112k/day. Beyond that it's a question of what else we receive. We're expecting some Moderna, but their deliveries have been unreliable. If they can manage 1M every two weeks (which is more than they ever have) that's still only 27k/day for Ontario, for a total of 139k/day in Ontario.
We might get some AstraZeneca from the US, but with India blocking exports we're cut off from the Covax supply. The Johnson & Johnson doses that we did receive came from the highly questionable Emergent factory in Baltimore, so we'll see if they're even usable, and the volume is again tiny.
Moderna says they'll get us more volume in June, but for May I really wouldn't be counting on much significant volume beyond the Pfizer supply. I think the only way that might change is if Moderna starts exporting from the US this month.