03-14-2021, 01:11 PM
(03-13-2021, 04:48 PM)danbrotherston Wrote:(03-13-2021, 04:22 PM)tomh009 Wrote: SATURDAY 2021-03-13
Waterloo Region reported 39 new cases for today (11.2% of the active cases) and three more for yesterday for a total of 51; 276 new cases for the week (-12), averaging 10.8% of active cases. 351 active cases, -54 in the last seven days.
Next testing report on Tuesday.
1,452 doses of vaccine administered, with a seven-day average of 1,237. At this pace, the dose count will reach 70% of the regional population on 2022-01-19.
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I have never found this type of stat to be particularly useful, obviously the pace will change. What is more interesting is is the pace increasing, and by what type of function, and what are the limiting factors.
Given that the plan is to vaccinate everyone (first dose) by June 20th, what pace do we need to hit to achieve that. Would be nice to have more data and plans from the region, what is the capacity of their centres, what is their plan for getting to June 20th.
Alas, we have no plan from the province (who has apparently dumped the planning on the health units now) or from our local health unit. So, we don't know how many doses they plan to deliver when, or when they expect to complete the inoculation of what demographic segment.
Where did you see the June 20th plan? The Ontario web pages still talk about delivering the first dose to over-60s by the end of June, which is a whole lot different.
The projected date in my post is clearly meaningless, but it highlights the gap between the people's expectations of being vaccinated and the current pace of delivery. I expect the date to move forward reasonably quickly, but without knowledge of the plans, I really don't know how quickly. My post does include both the current day's number of doses as well as the weekly average, so that provides some indication. And there are various vaccine trackers out there, so I really don't want to build one, just highlight what's going on.