12-29-2020, 08:40 PM
(12-29-2020, 06:46 PM)jeffster Wrote: 895 cases in Toronto, and we’re to think that a lockdown will improve things. I don’t see it. People will do what they want, and that’s why Toronto and Peel are still hurting.
I think that the 895 number is not correct, for today. Why?
I look at the last 10 days for Toronto, and the counts are:
486 611 636 629 646 616 541 572 412 895
The 412 from yesterday's report (and likely for testing on Boxing Day) looks too low. And the jump to 895 today looks too high. My guess (and it is only a guess) is that a few hundred of those cases should have been reported yesterday, and the last two numbers should be 600-something and 700-something.
If my guess is correct, we should see something on the order of 600-700 new cases in Toronto tomorrow. If it's not, it should be 800-900 new cases. We'll see tomorrow.