12-29-2020, 05:14 PM
(12-29-2020, 03:45 PM)danbrotherston Wrote:(12-29-2020, 12:14 PM)tomh009 Wrote: (...)
The numbers look encouragingly green at the moment but note that Ottawa is trending back up significantly, albeit from a low level.
How much of that is a reduction due to Christmas testing numbers, are the positivity rates trending similarly?
That is the question, isn't it? Positivity rates are higher, as they always are when the number of tests drops (people with symptoms will be more likely to get immediate testing even on weekends or holidays, those without symptoms may wait). We won't see weekday-level results until Thursday and Friday (those will be for tests taken on Tuesday and Wednesday), and even so it's still the holiday week.
Next week's results will really tell us where we are: it'll be a normal five-day week, and we'll also see how much of a spike there is from Christmas. Until then, we can just hope for the best, but I would not base too much on this week's data as there are too many variables affecting it.