12-27-2020, 08:40 PM
The province recently started publishing their estimates of Re (effective reproduction number), which indicates how many other people an infected person spreads the disease to, on average. The numbers were very high in April, and then in the spike in September, but recently are closer to 1.0 (less than one is good!).
I did compare their estimates to the number of new cases as a % of actives, which I have been calculating daily for the last nine months. And the correlation between the two, in terms of direction, is quite good, so either one can work as an indicator.
I did compare their estimates to the number of new cases as a % of actives, which I have been calculating daily for the last nine months. And the correlation between the two, in terms of direction, is quite good, so either one can work as an indicator.