12-18-2020, 12:16 PM
The OHA board (whose primary concern is the hospital capacity) is recommending a lockdown for all regions with over 40 cases per 100K (presumably per week). This threshold would trigger a lockdown in every region in my previous post, bar Ottawa and Leeds Grenville, and include just about all mid-sized and larger cities (Sarnia, Peterborough, North Bay, Sudbury and Thunder Bay would escape the lockdown, I believe).
My personal prediction for today's provincial decision is that we'll see a small number of additional regions locked down (probably at least Durham and Hamilton) -- and then additional restrictions in both the red zone and in the lockdown zone.
As you can see from the data, the current mild lockdown has not slowed down the increases in Windsor or York -- or even Toronto. Some specific additional restrictions are needed, but I have no guesses as to what those might be.
As an aside, Waterloo Region is not doing so badly as the average is still at 70, and while the weekly trend is up, it's only up by 7%. If you look at the details, 100 of our recent new cases are from two LTC/retirement homes. The RH/LTC outbreaks are not as widespread as before, but it's still disappointing to see those two facilities letting things get out of hand when the results were highly visible last time around.
My personal prediction for today's provincial decision is that we'll see a small number of additional regions locked down (probably at least Durham and Hamilton) -- and then additional restrictions in both the red zone and in the lockdown zone.
As you can see from the data, the current mild lockdown has not slowed down the increases in Windsor or York -- or even Toronto. Some specific additional restrictions are needed, but I have no guesses as to what those might be.
As an aside, Waterloo Region is not doing so badly as the average is still at 70, and while the weekly trend is up, it's only up by 7%. If you look at the details, 100 of our recent new cases are from two LTC/retirement homes. The RH/LTC outbreaks are not as widespread as before, but it's still disappointing to see those two facilities letting things get out of hand when the results were highly visible last time around.