The COVID-19 pandemic

[tomh009]

FRIDAY 2020-10-02

Waterloo Region reported five new cases for today (3.5% of the active cases) -- with two additional cases for yesterday (now 16 cases total, 10.1% of actives).  64 new cases for the week (+0), averaging 5.9% of active cases. 144 active cases (-9 in the last seven days).

Next testing report on Friday.

Ontario reported 732 new cases today with a seven-day average of 582, still going up quickly. 428 recoveries and two deaths (plus 74 deaths not previously reported) translated to a increase of 302 active cases (net of those 74 deaths) and a current total of 5,203. A weekly total change of +1,378 active cases (again, net). 40,093 tests for a 1.83% positivity rate. The positivity rate is averaging 1.46% for the past seven days.

Oh yes, that seven-day average is a new record, and exceeds the seven-day average of 571 we recorded on 23 April.

The new cases are 14.1% of the number of active cases, averaging 12.4% over the past seven days. The last time the average was below 10% was on 16 August.

ICU patient count is at 38 (+2), 3x the numbers from late August. Total hospital population is up to 167 (+5).

• 323 cases in Toronto: 9.5 per 100K population
  
• 141 cases in Ottawa: 14.1 per 100K
  
• 111 cases in Peel: 11.1 per 100K
  
• 38 cases in York: 3.5 per 100K
  
• 34 cases in Durham 5.2 per 100K
  
• 9 cases in Waterloo: 1.5 per 100K (based on provincial reporting)
  

Toronto, Peel and Ottawa all around 10+ cases perk 100K population. Ugh. The top five regions account for nearly 90% of the Ontario cases.