The COVID-19 pandemic

[tomh009]

Average case growth from yesterday, over the past seven days:

• Brazil: 372 cases 39% average/day
  
• Poland: 251 cases 35% average/day
  
• Portugal: 448 cases 34% average/day
  

But US, Canada and Portugal are already up around 80% from yesterday ... and Australia is more than double yesterday.

Today's data snip, five-day average increase:

• Ecuador: 367 cases, 67%
  
• Pakistan: 501 cases, 57%
  
• Luxembourg: 484 cases, 52%
  
• Chile 434: cases, 42%
  
• USA: 19101 cases, 40%
  
• Peru: 234 cases, 40%
  
• Ireland: 683 cases, 40%
  
• Armenia: 136 cases, 39%
  
• Brazil: 793 cases, 37%
  
• Portugal: 1020 cases, 33%
  
• ...
  
• Canada: 943: 30%
  

30% is not good for sure. Today was only 18% but yesterday was much higher. All the four big provinces (ON, QC, AB, BC) were in the 15-23% range today. We can only hope that this is the direction and not just an outlier.

On the other hand, NY was at 55% today (8310 cases!), MI was 65% (552) and TX at 52% (394). They are cracking down now but it will take quite some time before that will be reflected in the caseload.