The COVID-19 pandemic

[tomh009]

I'm not sure whether 32 today is alarming or not. All sample sizes will be very small- only about eight thousand tests have been administered in Ontario. The actual number is much higher than 172, and it's been admitted that we don't know what it really is. Which makes sense, given that we're in a different phase now, not necessarily focused on tracing every single case, but keeping everyone more distant from one another to slow the spread.

Given that there is no sea change to the testing intensity or methodology, the percentage increase is still, I think, the best indicator as to whether the curve is flattening or not. Because we have no way of counting the undetected cases.