(04-14-2021, 05:23 PM)ac3r Wrote: Considering the project to Cambridge is at least a decade away from being completed - if not longer - by the time we need to invest in another line in the region, the ridership may be high enough to warrant something on Homer Watson or at least on the west side of the city.
The 301 has a week day ridership of ~3,000 and with the southern half of the former 200 it has a yearly growth rate that will like get it to rough 8,000/day in 10 years. The 206 (which Stage 2 will draw from in part) has ~2,200/day, but is too early to tell annual growth trends.
The 201's ridership south of Ottawa disappears dramatically, and the 10 is only at ~1,800/day and dropping since a peak in fall 2018. Unless something changes drastically, ridership into Pioneer Park and lower Doon down to Conestoga College is not going to be anywhere close to warranting an LRT. The 10 needs to double it's boardings and be showing an average 10% annual growth trend for 5+ years to be where the 302 was just prior to the pandemic. It needs to hit 13k/day to be as heavily used as the 7 was.
As a comparison, the 201 in September 2018 had ~7,100/weekday compared to the 200's ~10,000/weekday.