02-28-2024, 04:01 PM
(02-28-2024, 10:02 AM)SF22 Wrote:(02-28-2024, 09:50 AM)the_conestoga_guy Wrote: Some news today in the Record about Phase 2 and the upcoming business case - expected to be ready "end of 2025."How could there be a separated Cambridge line? You'd have to build a second maintenance building in Cambridge somewhere, which would be another large land acquisition and then the cost to actually build the thing. I'd love to see the breakdown of cost on that option vs the original Cross-The-Grand plan.
https://archive.is/VUc4R
I've personally wondered about option 4 (assuming it still follows the original Hespeler Rd alignment) as a possible interim option, with a BRT link between Preston and Fairway. At this point, I'd be happy to even see a full BRT system. It would at least reserve the space for upgrading to rail in the future while also making Hespeler Rd a more livable space.
"If approved, Phase 2 construction could start in 2032 and would likely take five or six years." So looking at 2037/38 as our best-case scenario, which is EIGHTEEN YEARS after the completion of Phase 1 (June 2019). Was there ever any indication that it would take so long? If they are serious about doing a Phase 3, I sincerely hope that we get started on the proposals long before Phase 2 is underway.
Yes, in multiple ways.
The first was simply that the Region itself had said that construction was not planned to start before 2028, though nothing more specific was said.
The second was how long would it take for the ridership on the relevant bus routes to get to the point they would be over the threshold that would make LRT operations cheaper than that of a bus route with the same number of people.
That works out to somewhere between 2030 (2000-2013 GRT average annual growth rate of ~7.1%) to 2038 (2000-2019 GRT average annual growth rate of ~4.8%).