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+--- Thread: The COVID-19 pandemic (/showthread.php?tid=1463)
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RE: The COVID-19 pandemic - jeffster - 12-08-2020
(12-07-2020, 11:28 PM)tomh009 Wrote: It could be that he's using 2016 census numbers rather than current estimates, but even that is only a 10% difference.
I think perhaps the region adds the City of Waterloo numbers which are usually off by 40,000 or so. That would make the total difference of maybe 15%?
RE: The COVID-19 pandemic - tomh009 - 12-08-2020
TUESDAY 2020-12-08
Waterloo Region reported 56 new cases for today (10.7% of the active cases). 433 new cases for the week (-8), averaging 10.9% of active cases. 458 active cases (-122 in the last seven days).
An average of 1,866 tests/day for the past week, for an average positivity rate of 3.39%, a significant improvement (albeit through increased testing).
Ontario reported 1,676 new cases today with a seven-day average of 1,810 (-10). 1,549 recoveries and 10 deaths translated to an increase of 117 active cases, and a current total of 16,151. +1,587 active cases for the week and 145 deaths. 39,198 tests resulted in a 4.28% positivity rate. The positivity rate is averaging 3.62% for the past seven days, as compared to 3.72% for the preceding seven.
219 patients in ICU (+6) and 794 hospital beds in total (+149 for the week).
- 349 cases in Peel: 25.3 per 100K
- 84 cases in Windsor-Essex: 21.6 per 100K
- 588 cases in Toronto: 20.1 per 100K
- 55 cases in Middlesex-London: 13.6 per 100K
- 141 cases in York: 12.7 per 100K
- 66 cases in Halton: 12.0 per 100K
- 76 cases in Durham: 11.8 per 100K
- 62 cases in Simcoe-Muskoka: 11.5 per 100K
- 28 cases in Wellington-Dufferin-Guelph: 10.3 per 100K
- 61 cases in Waterloo: 9.9 per 100K (based on provincial reporting)
- 51 cases in Hamilton: 8.8 per 100K
- 15 cases in Niagara: 3.3 per 100K
- 21 cases in Ottawa: 2.1 per 100K
- 4 cases in Eastern Ontario: 2.0 per 100K
RE: The COVID-19 pandemic - tomh009 - 12-08-2020
(12-08-2020, 01:34 PM)jeffster Wrote:(12-07-2020, 11:28 PM)tomh009 Wrote: It could be that he's using 2016 census numbers rather than current estimates, but even that is only a 10% difference.
I think perhaps the region adds the City of Waterloo numbers which are usually off by 40,000 or so. That would make the total difference of maybe 15%?
I'm calculating the rate per 100K, using the provincial case numbers, and the current population estimate from the regional web site.
RE: The COVID-19 pandemic - tomh009 - 12-09-2020
WEDNESDAY 2020-12-09
Waterloo Region reported 55 new cases for today (11.9% of the active cases). 397 new cases for the week (-36), averaging 10.3% of active cases. 409 active cases (-185 in the last seven days).
Next testing report on Friday.
Ontario reported 1,890 new cases today with a seven-day average of 1,828 (+18). 1,924 recoveries and 28 deaths translated to a drop of 62 active cases, and a current total of 16,089. +1,483 active cases for the week and 138 deaths. 48,546 tests resulted in a 3.89% positivity rate. The positivity rate is averaging 3.61% for the past seven days, as compared to 3.75% for the preceding seven.
221 patients in ICU (+2) and 811 hospital beds in total (+155 for the week).
- 471 cases in Peel: 34.1 per 100K
- 94 cases in Windsor-Essex: 24.2 per 100K
- 517 cases in Toronto: 17.6 per 100K
- 96 cases in Halton: 17.5 per 100K
- 187 cases in York: 16.8 per 100K
- 97 cases in Hamilton: 16.7 per 100K
- 75 cases in Durham: 11.6 per 100K
- 64 cases in Waterloo: 10.4 per 100K (based on provincial reporting)
- 43 cases in Niagara: 9.6 per 100K
- 25 cases in Wellington-Dufferin-Guelph: 9.2 per 100K
- 37 cases in Middlesex-London: 9.1 per 100K
- 34 cases in Simcoe-Muskoka: 6.3 per 100K
- 8 cases in Eastern Ontario: 3.9 per 100K
- 33 cases in Ottawa: 3.3 per 100K
RE: The COVID-19 pandemic - ac3r - 12-10-2020
We were just shy of hitting 2'000 cases today, once again breaking a record with 1'983 new cases. 61 were here in Waterloo Region.
While we don't have triple digit GTA levels here, we are pretty much at the top of the list for new cases after them...only Hamilton managed to surpass us with 10 more cases today. I imagine by the end of the month we'll be seeing 100+ a day and that will likely just keep growing after all the infections people give each other over Christmas and New Years Eve.
RE: The COVID-19 pandemic - tomh009 - 12-10-2020
THURSDAY 2020-12-10
Waterloo Region reported 59 new cases for today (14.3% of the active cases). 394 new cases for the week (-3), averaging 10.9% of active cases. 387 active cases (-203 in the last seven days).
Active cases are now down by about 275 from the recent peak, which helps keep new infections at a more moderate level. New cases are averaging 56 for the past week, compared to 77 for the prior week. New cases as % of actives are down from 14.5% last week to 10.9% this week. These are encouraging signs but the Christmas holidays are just around the corner.
Next testing report on Friday.
Ontario reported 1,983 new cases today -- another new high -- with a seven-day average of 1,862 (+34). 1,804 recoveries and 35 deaths translated to an increase of 144 active cases, and a current total of 16,233. +1,438 active cases for the week and 159 deaths. 61,809 tests -- a record here, too -- resulted in a 3.21% positivity rate. The positivity rate is averaging 3.60% for the past seven days, as compared to 3.78% for the preceding seven.
228 patients in ICU (+7) and 829 hospital beds in total (+163 for the week).
- 515 cases in Peel: 37.3 per 100K
- 112 cases in Windsor-Essex: 28.8 per 100K
- 55 cases in Wellington-Dufferin-Guelph: 20.2 per 100K
- 208 cases in York: 18.7 per 100K
- 496 cases in Toronto: 16.9 per 100K
- 61 cases in Middlesex-London: 15.1 per 100K
- 75 cases in Hamilton: 12.9 per 100K
- 23 cases in Eastern Ontario: 11.3 per 100K
- 65 cases in Waterloo: 10.5 per 100K (based on provincial reporting)
- 54 cases in Simcoe-Muskoka: 10.0 per 100K
- 51 cases in Halton: 9.3 per 100K
- 55 cases in Durham: 8.5 per 100K
- 35 cases in Niagara: 7.8 per 100K
- 56 cases in Ottawa: 5.6 per 100K
RE: The COVID-19 pandemic - tomh009 - 12-10-2020
(12-10-2020, 12:54 PM)ac3r Wrote: While we don't have triple digit GTA levels here, we are pretty much at the top of the list for new cases after them...only Hamilton managed to surpass us with 10 more cases today. I imagine by the end of the month we'll be seeing 100+ a day and that will likely just keep growing after all the infections people give each other over Christmas and New Years Eve.
Waterloo Region is averaging about 10.5 cases/100K in the past two weeks and trending down (see my comments above). That is below not only GTA but also Windsor, Hamilton, Guelph and Halton.
Christmas holiday behaviour is the big wildcard, but otherwise the region seems to have recovered somewhat from the spike two weeks ago. New cases have been pretty stable around the 60 mark, and the number of active cases is dropping.
RE: The COVID-19 pandemic - tomh009 - 12-11-2020
FRIDAY 2020-12-11
Waterloo Region reported 90 new cases for today (23.1% of the active cases). 422 new cases for the week (+28), averaging 12.7% of active cases. 429 active cases (-226 in the last seven days).
A shocker of a number for new cases after a long series of daily case counts around 60. It turns out that 26 of those are at a single LTC facility. This is terrible because those are some of the highest-risk people. However, on the positive side, the non-LTC number is only 64, still stable, so no indication of massive new community spread.
An average of 1,767 cases/day for the past week, for an average positivity of 3.57%.
Ontario reported 1,848 new cases today -- another new high -- with a seven-day average of 1,822 (+10). 1,753 recoveries and 45 deaths translated to an increase of 50 active cases, and a current total of 16,283. +1,286 active cases for the week and 179 deaths. 63,051 tests -- a new record here, again -- resulted in a 2.93% positivity rate. The positivity rate is averaging 3.56% for the past seven days, as compared to 3.77% for the preceding seven.
235 patients in ICU (+7) and 808 hospital beds in total (+134 for the week).
- 386 cases in Peel: 27.9 per 100K
- 106 cases in Windsor-Essex: 27.3 per 100K
- 46 cases in Eastern Ontario: 22.7 per 100K
- 54 cases in Wellington-Dufferin-Guelph: 19.9 per 100K
- 205 cases in York: 18.5 per 100K
- 469 cases in Toronto: 16.0 per 100K
- 91 cases in Durham: 14.1 per 100K
- 77 cases in Waterloo: 12.5 per 100K (based on provincial reporting)
- 57 cases in Halton: 10.4 per 100K
- 58 cases in Hamilton: 10.0 per 100K
- 33 cases in Middlesex-London: 8.2 per 100K
- 39 cases in Simcoe-Muskoka: 7.2 per 100K
- 59 cases in Ottawa: 5.9 per 100K
- 25 cases in Niagara: 5.6 per 100K
RE: The COVID-19 pandemic - jeffster - 12-12-2020
(12-11-2020, 09:39 PM)tomh009 Wrote: FRIDAY 2020-12-11
Waterloo Region reported 90 new cases for today (23.1% of the active cases). 422 new cases for the week (+28), averaging 12.7% of active cases. 429 active cases (-226 in the last seven days).
A shocker of a number for new cases after a long series of daily case counts around 60. It turns out that 26 of those are at a single LTC facility. This is terrible because those are some of the highest-risk people. However, on the positive side, the non-LTC number is only 64, still stable, so no indication of massive new community spread.
An average of 1,767 cases/day for the past week, for an average positivity of 3.57%.
Ontario reported 1,848 new cases today -- another new high -- with a seven-day average of 1,822 (+10). 1,753 recoveries and 45 deaths translated to an increase of 50 active cases, and a current total of 16,283. +1,286 active cases for the week and 179 deaths. 63,051 tests -- a new record here, again -- resulted in a 2.93% positivity rate. The positivity rate is averaging 3.56% for the past seven days, as compared to 3.77% for the preceding seven.
235 patients in ICU (+7) and 808 hospital beds in total (+134 for the week).
- 386 cases in Peel: 27.9 per 100K
- 106 cases in Windsor-Essex: 27.3 per 100K
- 46 cases in Eastern Ontario: 22.7 per 100K
- 54 cases in Wellington-Dufferin-Guelph: 19.9 per 100K
- 205 cases in York: 18.5 per 100K
- 469 cases in Toronto: 16.0 per 100K
- 91 cases in Durham: 14.1 per 100K
- 77 cases in Waterloo: 12.5 per 100K (based on provincial reporting)
- 57 cases in Halton: 10.4 per 100K
- 58 cases in Hamilton: 10.0 per 100K
- 33 cases in Middlesex-London: 8.2 per 100K
- 39 cases in Simcoe-Muskoka: 7.2 per 100K
- 59 cases in Ottawa: 5.9 per 100K
- 25 cases in Niagara: 5.6 per 100K
Not sure if you are aware, but Windsor and York are going into Lockdown (Grey) Monday at midnight.
Guelph and London are going into Red, Monday at midnight.
RE: The COVID-19 pandemic - tomh009 - 12-12-2020
(12-12-2020, 12:27 AM)jeffster Wrote: Not sure if you are aware, but Windsor and York are going into Lockdown (Grey) Monday at midnight.
Guelph and London are going into Red, Monday at midnight.
Hadn't seen that yet but it's a pretty obvious decision based on the case numbers.
RE: The COVID-19 pandemic - tomh009 - 12-12-2020
10-day averages for key regions in Ontario, plus the weekly trend.
| Region | Cases today | 10-day average | per 100K | Weekly trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peel | 436 | 458.9 | 33.2 | -17% |
| Windsor-Essex | 81 | 73.1 | 18.8 | 34% |
| Toronto | 522 | 535.9 | 18.3 | -2% |
| York | 185 | 186.9 | 16.8 | 4% |
| Durham | 80 | 83.5 | 12.9 | 6% |
| Hamilton | 109 | 72.8 | 12.6 | 25% |
| Wellington-Dufferin-Guelph | 38 | 32.6 | 12.0 | 33% |
| Waterloo | 78 | 67.3 | 10.9 | 14% |
| Halton | 47 | 58.4 | 10.7 | -6% |
| Middlesex-London | 37 | 37.4 | 9.2 | 13% |
| Eastern Ontario | 11 | 17.3 | 8.5 | 17% |
| Simcoe-Muskoka | 31 | 41.8 | 7.7 | 17% |
| Niagara | 45 | 27.3 | 6.1 | 32% |
| Ottawa | 19 | 43.8 | 4.4 | -25% |
RE: The COVID-19 pandemic - tomh009 - 12-12-2020
SATURDAY 2020-12-12
Waterloo Region reported 52 new cases for today (12.0% of the active cases). 449 new cases for the week (+27), averaging 13.8% of active cases. 422 active cases (-127 in the last seven days).
Next testing report on Tuesday.
Ontario reported 1,873 new cases today, with a seven-day average of 1,874 (+52). 1,918 recoveries and 17 deaths translated to a drop of 62 active cases, and a current total of 16,221. +1,009 active cases for the week and 176 deaths. 65,260 tests -- a third consecutive record -- resulted in a 2.87% positivity rate. The positivity rate is averaging 3.53% for the past seven days, as compared to 3.75% for the preceding seven.
237 patients in ICU (+2) and 855 hospital beds in total (+146 for the week).
- 436 cases in Peel: 31.5 per 100K
- 81 cases in Windsor-Essex: 20.8 per 100K
- 109 cases in Hamilton: 18.8 per 100K
- 522 cases in Toronto: 17.8 per 100K
- 185 cases in York: 16.7 per 100K
- 38 cases in Wellington-Dufferin-Guelph: 14.0 per 100K
- 78 cases in Waterloo: 12.6 per 100K (based on provincial reporting)
- 80 cases in Durham: 12.4 per 100K
- 45 cases in Niagara: 10.0 per 100K
- 37 cases in Middlesex-London: 9.1 per 100K
- 47 cases in Halton: 8.6 per 100K
- 31 cases in Simcoe-Muskoka: 5.7 per 100K
- 11 cases in Eastern Ontario: 5.4 per 100K
- 19 cases in Ottawa: 1.9 per 100K
RE: The COVID-19 pandemic - panamaniac - 12-12-2020
The "why" of Ottawa's success remains a bit of a mystery to me. We are a very obedient mask-wearing town, but whether that's why the numbers have been trending downward since Thanksgiving is anybody's guess.
RE: The COVID-19 pandemic - plam - 12-12-2020
(12-12-2020, 02:42 PM)tomh009 Wrote: 10-day averages for key regions in Ontario, plus the weekly trend.
Kudos to Ottawa for having clawed their way from the top of the table to the bottom!
Region Cases today 10-day average per 100K Weekly trend Peel 436 458.9 33.2 -17% Windsor-Essex 81 73.1 18.8 34% Toronto 522 535.9 18.3 -2% York 185 186.9 16.8 4% Durham 80 83.5 12.9 6% Hamilton 109 72.8 12.6 25% Wellington-Dufferin-Guelph 38 32.6 12.0 33% Waterloo 78 67.3 10.9 14% Halton 47 58.4 10.7 -6% Middlesex-London 37 37.4 9.2 13% Eastern Ontario 11 17.3 8.5 17% Simcoe-Muskoka 31 41.8 7.7 17% Niagara 45 27.3 6.1 32% Ottawa 19 43.8 4.4 -25%
Thanks, presents the information in a compact and easy to understand form.
So how are you generating these? A script from a spreadsheet would be one-touch... Also right-aligning numbers is nice. If you stick the number between (align=right) tags that would right align them.
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panamaniac: Ottawa Public Health has been doing good comms?
RE: The COVID-19 pandemic - jeffster - 12-12-2020
From another site. Weekly totals (7 days) per 100K.
Top weekly rates of confirmed COVID-19 cases per 100,000 population Dec 2, 2020 to Dec 8, 2020. I'm using those with 40 or higher (red zone).
• Peel Public Health 200.3
• Toronto Public Health 123.6
• Windsor-Essex County Health Unit 121.2
• York Region Public Health 101.6
• Durham Region Health Department 82.4
• City of Hamilton Public Health Services 87.6
• Wellington-Dufferin-Guelph Public Health 77.9
• Halton Region Public Health 71.6
• Region of Waterloo Public Health and Emergency Services 69.6
• Eastern Ontario Health Unit 69.0
• Simcoe Muskoka District Health Unit 53.5
• Middlesex-London Health Unit 46.7
• Huron Perth Public Health 43.6
• Thunder Bay District Health Unit 42.7
Total Ontario (average) was 86.5.