The COVID-19 pandemic - Printable Version +- Waterloo Region Connected (https://www.waterlooregionconnected.com) +-- Forum: Connected Café (https://www.waterlooregionconnected.com/forumdisplay.php?fid=15) +--- Forum: General and Off-Topic Discussion (https://www.waterlooregionconnected.com/forumdisplay.php?fid=19) +--- Thread: The COVID-19 pandemic (/showthread.php?tid=1463) Pages:
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RE: The COVID-19 pandemic - danbrotherston - 12-07-2020 (12-07-2020, 02:32 PM)tomh009 Wrote: This is a seven-day average of new cases by region, including a straight-line trend calculation I don't suppose you could run the numbers for Hastings/Prince-Edward-County? RE: The COVID-19 pandemic - tomh009 - 12-07-2020 (12-07-2020, 02:35 PM)danbrotherston Wrote: I don't suppose you could run the numbers for Hastings/Prince-Edward-County? An average of 5.6 cases in Hastings-Prince Edward: 4.8 per 100K: DOWN 0.1/day RE: The COVID-19 pandemic - Rainrider22 - 12-07-2020 (12-07-2020, 02:32 PM)tomh009 Wrote: This is a seven-day average of new cases by region, including a straight-line trend calculationI like it, thank you for your efforts... RE: The COVID-19 pandemic - tomh009 - 12-07-2020 MONDAY 2020-12-07 Waterloo Region reported 56 new cases for today (10.6% of the active cases). 441 new cases for the week (+3), averaging 11.1% of active cases. 512 active cases (-63 in the last seven days). Next testing report on Tuesday. Ontario reported 1,925 new cases today -- one more than yesterday's record -- with a seven-day average of 1,820 (+25). 1,412 recoveries and 26 deaths translated to an increase of 487 active cases, and a current total of 16,034. +1,567 active cases for the week and 142 deaths. 45,283 tests resulted in a 4.25% positivity rate. The positivity rate is averaging 3.73% for the past seven days, as compared to 3.53% for the preceding seven. 213 patients in ICU (+9).
RE: The COVID-19 pandemic - plam - 12-07-2020 (12-07-2020, 02:32 PM)tomh009 Wrote: This is a seven-day average of new cases by region, including a straight-line trend calculation Looks good. UP/DOWN is compared to the previous week's average? Maybe a % diff from the previous week would be good too. RE: The COVID-19 pandemic - tomh009 - 12-07-2020 (12-07-2020, 05:05 PM)plam Wrote:(12-07-2020, 02:32 PM)tomh009 Wrote: This is a seven-day average of new cases by region, including a straight-line trend calculation It's actually the slope of the straight-line linear regression with the seven days as data points -- effectively the seven-day trend. By next week I'll have more data (without having to go back), I'll see what I can do with it. RE: The COVID-19 pandemic - jwilliamson - 12-07-2020 (12-07-2020, 02:32 PM)tomh009 Wrote: This is a seven-day average of new cases by region, including a straight-line trend calculationThis was quite useful. Thanks for posting it and for your regular daily posts. RE: The COVID-19 pandemic - plam - 12-07-2020 (12-07-2020, 08:16 PM)tomh009 Wrote:(12-07-2020, 05:05 PM)plam Wrote: Looks good. UP/DOWN is compared to the previous week's average? Maybe a % diff from the previous week would be good too. Got it. Thanks! RE: The COVID-19 pandemic - jeffster - 12-07-2020 (12-07-2020, 08:16 PM)tomh009 Wrote:(12-07-2020, 05:05 PM)plam Wrote: Looks good. UP/DOWN is compared to the previous week's average? Maybe a % diff from the previous week would be good too. I am wondering if you could do weekly per 100K -- this seems to be what the province looks at to determine which colour a region should be in. I believe 100/100K weekly means code grey. I do know that Waterloo Region is at 88.8/100K, down from 91.4/100K yesterday. RE: The COVID-19 pandemic - tomh009 - 12-07-2020 (12-07-2020, 09:02 PM)jeffster Wrote:(12-07-2020, 08:16 PM)tomh009 Wrote: It's actually the slope of the straight-line linear regression with the seven days as data points -- effectively the seven-day trend. I wonder how they get to 88.8; where did you find this number? My numbers, above, from the Ontario COVID epidemiologic summaries, average out to only about 75/100K on a weekly basis (10.7/100K on a daily basis). This rate is only one of the factors, though. But York certainly looks like it's going to get locked down next week. RE: The COVID-19 pandemic - tomh009 - 12-07-2020 While the provincial government is not going to force people to get vaccinated, it's nice to see that they are planning to put in some serious incentives to do it. They are contemplating restricting access to hospitals, LTC homes, schools and/or travel to people who have been vaccinated. It's not a finished plan yet, but I'm happy to see that incentives will be in place to get vaccinated. RE: The COVID-19 pandemic - danbrotherston - 12-07-2020 (12-07-2020, 10:23 PM)tomh009 Wrote: While the provincial government is not going to force people to get vaccinated, it's nice to see that they are planning to put in some serious incentives to do it. They are contemplating restricting access to hospitals, LTC homes, schools and/or travel to people who have been vaccinated. It's not a finished plan yet, but I'm happy to see that incentives will be in place to get vaccinated. Indeed, this is exactly the types of policies I like to see. I recognize the rights of people to have autonomy over themselves. Government mandated vaccines would be an extreme measure (albeit one that could be warranted in certain circumstances). But tying a vaccine requirement to partaking in social and societal services and activities makes perfect sense. I.e., you're allowed to be an anti-social individual, but you aren't allowed to benefit from social activies or societal services if you do. Society is pay to play. RE: The COVID-19 pandemic - jeffster - 12-07-2020 (12-07-2020, 10:20 PM)tomh009 Wrote:(12-07-2020, 09:02 PM)jeffster Wrote: I am wondering if you could do weekly per 100K -- this seems to be what the province looks at to determine which colour a region should be in. I believe 100/100K weekly means code grey. I do know that Waterloo Region is at 88.8/100K, down from 91.4/100K yesterday. It could be a different in population reporting: What the region reports vs what Canada reports. Here is where I am getting my information (and I believe this user works for the Ministry of Health, though I could be wrong). https://www.dslreports.com/forum/r32679793-Prep-for-Coronavirus~start=15800 User is Walker Dnes Wrote:Walkter Dnesand he updates daily just after 10:30 am. RE: The COVID-19 pandemic - tomh009 - 12-07-2020 It could be that he's using 2016 census numbers rather than current estimates, but even that is only a 10% difference. RE: The COVID-19 pandemic - ac3r - 12-08-2020 (12-07-2020, 10:23 PM)tomh009 Wrote: While the provincial government is not going to force people to get vaccinated, it's nice to see that they are planning to put in some serious incentives to do it. They are contemplating restricting access to hospitals, LTC homes, schools and/or travel to people who have been vaccinated. It's not a finished plan yet, but I'm happy to see that incentives will be in place to get vaccinated. This is a very good way to go about it. Restrict access to certain things for those who don't want to get vaccinated. Those against vaccinations will cry about it, but it's their choice to be a walking health risk. We already do slightly similar things anyways...for example, to work in places like hospitals and LTC homes you need to have certain up to date vaccinations. |