The COVID-19 pandemic - Printable Version +- Waterloo Region Connected (https://www.waterlooregionconnected.com) +-- Forum: Connected Café (https://www.waterlooregionconnected.com/forumdisplay.php?fid=15) +--- Forum: General and Off-Topic Discussion (https://www.waterlooregionconnected.com/forumdisplay.php?fid=19) +--- Thread: The COVID-19 pandemic (/showthread.php?tid=1463) Pages:
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RE: The COVID-19 pandemic - danbrotherston - 11-13-2020 (11-13-2020, 11:23 AM)jeffster Wrote:(11-13-2020, 10:01 AM)danbrotherston Wrote: I disagree with the idea that a lockdown has to kill businesses, there is no reason that we cannot provide financial support to businesses that have to shut down. The government did very little for businesses. They provided CERB instead for folks who lost their jobs. If they had paid small businesses instead, it would have been different. As for supporting low income people, not sure why you're opposed to that. If people made more on EI or CERB than at their jobs, the problem is those jobs, not EI and CERB. But that's a broader social issue. RE: The COVID-19 pandemic - Rainrider22 - 11-13-2020 (11-12-2020, 07:53 PM)danbrotherston Wrote:I am not sure what you mean about the schools being safe. Both my daughters in grade 4 and 6 have had no issues at school at all. There have been no positive cases reported in their school and our family feels safe.(11-12-2020, 07:35 PM)tomh009 Wrote: Yes -- with the caveat that these models are based on current situation "without further action". We cant keep shutting everything down. Business need to remain solvent, otherwise thew depression that comes out of this will make most people forget about any pandemic.. A number of people on this site are fortunate enough to work from home. I know many people that cant, they either go to work or no pay. The government cant afford to keep doling out money to people. We have to find a balance... I believe the government has been doing a good job given the situation. RE: The COVID-19 pandemic - danbrotherston - 11-13-2020 (11-13-2020, 12:15 PM)Rainrider22 Wrote:(11-12-2020, 07:53 PM)danbrotherston Wrote: I don't know, so far they've refused to take any action. I imagine when hospitals start ordering freezer trucks we may see some movement, but honestly, it's sad how our government seem to have just given up.I am not sure what you mean about the schools being safe. Both my daughters in grade 4 and 6 have had no issues at school at all. There have been no positive cases reported in their school and our family feels safe. Umm...maybe read my later comments...it is a false statement to say people can either work or no pay...we already have EI and we did CERB. As for what the government can and cannot do forever, that's a different discussion, but given that we have a vaccine that should be approved by the end of the year, this is absolutely a temporary situation which the government CAN handle. We can in fact keep shutting things down. As for businesses, I believe more support should have been given to small businesses as well. That's also a thing we could do. Ultimately, letting the pandemic run rampant won't help businesses. Countries which have controlled the pandemic better have had better economic outcomes, we knew this from the beginning, widespread illness and death is not an economically positive scenario. As for the schools, class sizes were not reduced to what was recommended, we took no steps to broadly enable outdoor teaching, we did not shut down less important facilities like bars and gyms to prioritize keeping numbers as low as possible to make schools safer. I'm glad your school has no positive cases, but there have been hundreds of outbreaks at school now. Like I said, not as bad as expected, but certainly far worse and far less safe than it could have been. RE: The COVID-19 pandemic - Rainrider22 - 11-13-2020 No we cant afford the CERB.... OTTAWA (Reuters) - Canada's budget deficit is on track to hit C$328.5 billion ($245.7 billion) in the 2020/21 fiscal year, including C$226 billion in pandemic relief spending, the country's independent parliamentary budget officer (PBO) said on Tuesday.Sep 29, 2020 Our deficit for 2019 was 14 Billion....And that was already too much. This is going to have a profound effect on us. "Umm...maybe read my later comments...it is a false statement to say people can either work or no pay...we already have EI and we did CERB." I know many people who dont qualify anymore for EI... My neighbor is an example. He can work from home however, his business has dried up. He does drawings for buildings.... He doesnt qualify because he is self employed. My wife lost a lot of money because she got CERB instead of proper EI when she was laid off... It hit us hard financially. Unless you have lived it, dont be so quick to say everything will be ok, we cant afford to shut it down. RE: The COVID-19 pandemic - danbrotherston - 11-13-2020 (11-13-2020, 01:54 PM)Rainrider22 Wrote: No we cant afford the CERB.... But you're not arguing for better supports...you're arguing to kill me or my loved ones. By the way, your neighbour, his business won't return until the pandemic is under control...so opening up and letting the disease run through our community isn't going help him. And you're right, I am privileged, I've been able to work from home, but I am also unable to get childcare right now, and my partner will be done her leave soon...we are making sacrifices and adjustments to our life to survive this too. But if we are smart and targeted with our actions, we can get through this relatively unscathed. Again, those countries which control the virus well do better economically, those which do not, do worse. The economy is positively correlated with controlling the pandemic, not negatively. As for whether our deficit is too much, I don't think so, but neither you nor I, nor even economists really understand what will happen, but we do know what will happen if we don't have the supports we need. Now it is a shame that when our economy was very strong under Harper and Trudeau, they decided to cut taxes because it's politically popular instead of reducing the deficit like would have been a good move. RE: The COVID-19 pandemic - Rainrider22 - 11-13-2020 "But you're not arguing for better supports...you're arguing to kill me or my loved ones" really !!! yes, your right, I am trying to kill you and your loved ones. I have news for you, your not likely to die from it.... I have not missed a day of work since this thing began. I am in the public all the time because of my job. When people were ordered to stay home, I was ordered to cancel all my vacation time.... I work in an organization that has 3000 employees who are out in the public face to face 7 days a week in the hottest spot in Canada...Peel Region. We have had very few cases of employees contracting Covid and in all cases, the contact tracing led back to personal, not work. If you follow proper protocol, you can safely do things... RE: The COVID-19 pandemic - danbrotherston - 11-13-2020 (11-13-2020, 02:32 PM)Rainrider22 Wrote: "But you're not arguing for better supports...you're arguing to kill me or my loved ones" really !!! yes, your right, I am trying to kill you and your loved ones. I have news for you, your not likely to die from it.... You don't know anything about me, I am a high risk individual, and no, I'm not likely to die of it, but I'm more likely than average. But that's besides the point, I'm not personally scared, I'm angry on behalf of others--we are averaging more than a dozen deaths a day in Ontario and rising. Even if it's not me or anyone I care about, those are still real people who are dying, who have people who do love them. Now, I'm not going to make assumptions about you, I don't know what you do. SOME things can be done safely, and I am explicitly not arguing to shut down everything, I was very clear about that. But clearer messaging, and targeted shutdowns are effective. Some things cannot be done safely. That spin class was following every government protocol, they still resulted in almost a hundred known infections. Further, the protocols have to change when the risk rises, in the summer when we were seeing low hundreds or high tens of cases a day, the risk was lower, we are seeing thousands now, and on track for high thousands...we need to take action, we should have taken action weeks ago. Instead, and this is very clear from the reporting, the government is naively prioritizing keeping things open. They have ignored the advice of public health experts. And keeping things open and letting the disease spread WILL NOT help the economy. All it will do is kill people. RE: The COVID-19 pandemic - Rainrider22 - 11-13-2020 "we are averaging more than a dozen deaths a day in Ontario and rising." What does this number even mean ? Statistically Ontario had 109 019 deaths for 2019. That is 306 deaths per day in Ontario. the number has been increasing each year, I am sure attributed to aging population. 2016- 97 000 2017- 101 659 2018- 106 762 2019- 109 019 I will be interested to see the year over year number of deaths from last year to this year. I suspect the number wont be as big of an increase as you would think... RE: The COVID-19 pandemic - jeffster - 11-13-2020 Here's the thing guys, things won't get better until two things happen: 1) People start listening to the government and 2) We have a vaccine. I don't blame "This government" as I think they are dong the best they can. Our federal government has been complete silent on having some sort of national program, and instead, letting provinces decide for themselves, and further, letting local governments decide for themselves. As for the province and the country itself, we have actually done very well compared to most other countries - the exception are some Asian countries (like China and South Korea). Just look at the USA, be it a liberal or conservative state, they have all suffered almost equally. And again, the issue has been people simple not listening to the science and government authorities. But as I said, we can do better if people practice things like social distancing, wearing a mask (and not using lame excuses not to), and having a very limited social bubble. Short of that, since this likely won't happen here, since many value their freedom and "rights" over anything else, we'll need to wait for a vaccine. RE: The COVID-19 pandemic - panamaniac - 11-13-2020 (09-30-2020, 05:10 PM)I8Ptomh009 Wrote:(09-30-2020, 04:28 PM)Coke6pk Wrote: I agree casinos, Dollarama, bars, etc. are not anywhere close to being essential, so we could be shutting down better than we are, but a true lockdown would be impossible. (11-13-2020, 08:03 PM)jeffster Wrote: Here's the thing guys, things won't get better until two things happen: 1) People start listening to the government and 2) We have a vaccine.Unless or until the provinces ask for the national government to take the helm, letting the provinces decide for themselves IS the national program. The national government can inform, encourage, cajole, and transfer funds. Federalism and the Constitution in action. RE: The COVID-19 pandemic - tomh009 - 11-13-2020 (11-13-2020, 11:42 AM)danbrotherston Wrote: The government did very little for businesses. They provided CERB instead for folks who lost their jobs. If they had paid small businesses instead, it would have been different. Uhh, Canada Emergency Wage Subsidy (CEWS) covered up to 75% of the employees' wages. It's nothing to scoff at, even if it has limitations. RE: The COVID-19 pandemic - tomh009 - 11-13-2020 (11-13-2020, 08:13 PM)panamaniac Wrote: Unless or until the provinces ask for the national government to take the helm, letting the provinces decide for themselves IS the national program. The national government can inform, encourage, cajole, and transfer funds. Federalism and the Constitution in action. Exactly. Healthcare is a provincial responsibility, and the federal government cannot overrule that. It's the constitution ... RE: The COVID-19 pandemic - tomh009 - 11-13-2020 (11-13-2020, 03:21 PM)Rainrider22 Wrote: "we are averaging more than a dozen deaths a day in Ontario and rising." What does this number even mean ? That's the "excess deaths" number you are looking for. In the US, it was about 300,000 in mid-October, when the number of COVID-associated deaths to date was about 200,000 at the time. I do expect our gap in Ontario to be smaller, but I expect it'll be substantially more than the 3,300 COVID-identified deaths to date. RE: The COVID-19 pandemic - ijmorlan - 11-13-2020 (11-13-2020, 08:03 PM)jeffster Wrote: But as I said, we can do better if people practice things like social distancing, wearing a mask (and not using lame excuses not to), and having a very limited social bubble. Short of that, since this likely won't happen here, since many value their freedom and "rights" over anything else, we'll need to wait for a vaccine. Those people don’t know what freedom is. They just don’t like being told that they have to do something for the good of everybody. I value my freedom and the freedom of others, and it is for that reason that I think initial Covid reactions should have been much stronger (border quarantines, shutdowns, etc.). RE: The COVID-19 pandemic - tomh009 - 11-13-2020 FRIDAY 2020-11-13 Waterloo Region reported 45 new cases for today (16.7% of the active cases). 283 new cases for the week (+10), averaging 18.6% of active cases -- actually a drop from yesterday. 286 active cases (+112 in the last seven days). While 40+ cases per days is definitely not good, at least it has been fairly stable for the last few days, averaging 44 cases for the past four days. 1,232 tests for the past week (an improvement) for a 3.28% positivity rate. Note that this is higher than the new 2.5% positivity threshold for the red stage of the framework! Ontario reported 1,396 new cases today with a seven-day average of 1,355 (+56). 1,018 recoveries and 19 deaths translated to an increase of 359 active cases, and a current total of 11,630. +3,232 active cases for the week, and 103 deaths. 40,509 tests resulted in a 3.45% positivity rate. The positivity rate is averaging 3.84% for the past seven days. ICU bed count is up to 106 (+8) and the overall hospital population is 452 (+72 in the past week).
GTA has 1100+ cases again; most of the region is now a red zone. |